The Puzzle of Iraqi Mortality: Surges, Civilian Deaths and Alternative Meanings

By Christian Davenport and Molly Inman

By the end of 2006, it had become clear to most observers that the U.S. strategy in Iraq was rapidly deteriorating. During that year, Iraqi civilian fatalities began to approach 4,000 per month, and sectarian violence and al-Qaeda activity was spreading and intensifying. What was the source of the physical threat?

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